Page 114 - 86395_CCB - 2024 Annual Report (web)
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              Asset Finance

                                     Current
                                   weighted         100%
                                    Scenario    weighting
              Scenario             ECL £000      ECL £000

              Base Case                             2,159
              Downside                              2,812
                                      2,455
              Severe Downside                       3,091
              Upside                                1,916


              2  The table below shows the impact of changes
                to the impairment assumptions in the
                IFRS 9 models.

                                           Provision impact
              Scenario                              £000
              Residential and Commercial              127
              property prices reduce by
              5% more than in the base case
              across the next 3 years                        •  Credit Risk – loans and advances to banks and
              An increase in the Bank’s forced      1,126      debt securities
              sale discount distribution by 5%                 Credit Risk exists in respect of Loans and Advances

              An increase in from 46% to            (790)      to Banks and Debt securities where the Bank
              51% in the assumed Cure rate                     has acquired securities or placed cash deposits
                                                               with other financial institutions. No assets are
              A 6 month increase in                   208      held for speculative purposes or actively traded.
              the assumed time to sell                         Certain liquid assets are held as part of the Bank’s
              defaulted properties                             liquidity buffer.
              A 10% increase in the Bank’s            114      The Bank holds balances in its Bank of England
              Asset Finance LGD                                reserve account, along with nostro accounts held
                                                               with Natl West. The counterparties to which the
                                                               Bank is exposed are domestically systemic banks,
              The expected credit loss (ECL) on loans in stage   and as such the Bank considers that the risk of
              3 are estimated on an individual basis and all   default across these balances is extremely low.
              relevant considerations that have a bearing on
              the expected future cash flows across a range    The Bank’s debt securities are issued by supra‑
              of economic scenarios are considered. These      national bodies or major UK and European
              considerations can be particularly subjective    Financial institutions. The Bank considers that
              and can include the business prospects for the   the loans and advances to Banks and the debt
              customer, the realisable value of collateral, the   securities are of low Credit Risk and as such hold
              reliability of customer information and the likely   no specific loss provisions against these assets.
              cost and duration of the work‑out process.
                                                               The Bank monitors its exposures to all
              The level of the impairment allowance is the
                                                               counterparties on an ongoing basis and whether
              difference between the value of the discounted
                                                               there have been any changes in the credit rating
              expected future cash flows (discounted at the
                                                               which may cause an increase in the probability of
              loan’s original effective interest rate), and its   said counterparty default. As at 31 December 2024
              carrying amount. Furthermore, estimates change   the Bank held no provisions against loans
              with time as new information becomes available   and advances to banks given the low Credit Risk
              or as work‑out strategies evolve, resulting in   of these financial instruments, their high propensity
              frequent revisions to the impairment allowance   to meet contractual cash flow obligations as
              as individual decisions are taken. Changes in    they fall due, and the instant access terms of
              these estimates would result in a change in the   these balances.
              allowances and have a direct impact on the
              impairment charge. The Bank has Real Estate      The table below sets out the credit quality of the
              loans totalling £30m in Stage 3. A 10 percentage   Bank’s on‑balance sheet loans and advances to
              point increase in the LGD for these loans would   Bank’s, debt securities and derivative assets. Full
              result in a £3m increase in the Stage 3 ECL.     details on the Bank’s derivative instruments can be
                                                               found in Note 21.
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